NFL

NFL source on declining RB market: ‘Blame Mike Shanahan and the analytics community’

Published by
Brad Sullivan

In trying to explain the declining running back market, a new report is directing blame for the situation at former head coach Mike Shanahan and the increased use of analytics.

Mike Florio of Pro Football Talk looked at how quality running backs have garnered little interest from teams and noted that economics has played a large role.

“Fundamentally, people don’t think that it’s a position that leads to greater expected points and surplus value,” a source with extensive knowledge of the dynamics that have resulted in the current running back market said. “It’s a salary cap league, with finite resources. That matters. So teams will spend on quarterbacks, receivers, pass rushers, and corner. Those are the positions that provide the most surplus.”

Following up, the source pointed to how Shanahan’s past philosophy toward the running game dovetails nicely with the current embrace of statistical analysis to guide decisions.

“Blame Mike Shanahan and the analytics community,” the source added.

Shanahan served as head coach for three different NFL teams, most notably for 14 years with the Denver Broncos from 1995 to 2008. During that time, he compiled a regular season record of 138-86 and led the Broncos to two consecutive Super Bowl titles.

The approach taken by Shanahan during that successful run was that any number of running backs could thrive within his system.

During Shanahan’s first four seasons with the Broncos, Terrell Davis was the team’s leading rusher. Over Shanahan’s final 10 seasons in Denver, nine different players led the team in rushing.

That ability to constantly adapt to new running backs made teams that embraced this philosophy reluctant to make steep investments in this area.

When it comes to analytics, breaking down past statistics has led to the belief that the passing game is much more relevant to success than a strong running attack.

Of course, some running backs still rank among the league’s top stars, like Tennessee Titans tailback Derrick Henry.

Yet, the current list of unsigned players constitutes a group of quality players. Names like Saquon Barkley, Dalvin Cook and Ezekiel Elliott have been among the NFL’s top runners during their careers but currently remain in limbo.

Having a quality running back can be invaluable either in sloppy weather or when the temperature dips during the latter part of a season. That’s because the effectiveness of passing games can be neutralized in such surroundings.

Right now, it seems clear that teams have little interest in changing their approaches toward the running game. Teams’ bottom lines remain driving forces in this current approach, even if the economic strategy costs quality running backs money.

Brad Sullivan

Brad has written on a variety of both NBA and NFL topics and has worked previously as a sports information director at the collegiate level. A lifetime fan of sports, he's witnessed countless great moments in different sports and understands that stories can be compelling from both the perspective of winners and losers. As a frustrated fan of Cleveland sports, he experienced something unprecedented when the Cavaliers won the city's first championship in 52 years.

Published by
Brad Sullivan

Recent Posts

‘Wtf’: Trae Young reacts to Rashad McCants saying he could score 81 points like Kobe Bryant

Back in January of 2006, former Los Angeles Lakers star Kobe Bryant put on one…

19 hours ago

Rashad McCants says he could’ve won ROTY but had a coach who was ‘shaking in the motherf——g huddle’

Former NBA guard Rashad McCants was drafted by the Minnesota Timberwolves with the last lottery…

20 hours ago

Chandler Parsons: Jaylen Brown would be best player on over half of NBA teams, including some playoff teams

The Boston Celtics were without maybe their top player for Wednesday's Game 2 versus the…

23 hours ago

‘Spo gonna Spo’: Cavs player gives Erik Spoelstra his flowers after Heat’s near-upset in Game 2

The odds were stacked against the Miami Heat to pick up a win in Game…

24 hours ago

Report: Will Campbell landing with Patriots may depend on whether team gets ‘fair deal’ to trade down

As a consolation prize for a woeful 2024 season that was marred by losing, the…

1 day ago

Report: ‘Most of the league’ has been contacted about Jalen Ramsey, including Rams, Lions and Eagles

Miami Dolphins cornerback Jalen Ramsey is one of the more notable players in the league…

1 day ago